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F Stock – Ford shares fall but all is not lost, analysts say – Photo: DK Grove / Shutterstock.com

Investors in Ford ( F ) have struggled this year, with the company’s share price down 42% in the first five months of the year and nearly 50% year-to-date (YTD) through Oct. 11.

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Analysts believe that Ford’s problems are largely beyond management’s control, such as fears of a US recession and uncertainty over the Covid-19 lockdown and the war in Ukraine.

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But what does this mean for stocks? Does the new weakness provide an attractive entry point for investors, or are there other factors to consider?

Here, we look at recent stock price movements, Ford’s latest results, and other factors that could shape the outlook for Ford stock.

Ford Motor Company was founded in 1903 by the most influential American industrialist, Henry Ford. Ford was a pioneer in the automobile industry, setting up the first assembly plant in the United States in 1911 and the world’s first moving automobile assembly line. In 1913.

In 1908, the company sold one of its most famous cars, the Ford Model T. At $260, the Car was considered the first affordable car and made car ownership and travel accessible to -Middle-class Americans. The Model T was the most produced car in the world for decades, until it was overtaken by the Volkswagen Beetle in 1972.

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The Ford F-Series has surpassed the Model T as the company’s best-selling vehicle and America’s best-selling truck for 45 consecutive years. An electric version is being built at the Rouge Electric Vehicle Facility at the Rouge Complex in Dearborn, Michigan.

Ford produced an electric vehicle (EV), the Ford Commuta, in 1967. The next two EV models arrived in 2003, the Think City microcar and the Ford Ranger EV pickup.

In April 2022, Ford introduced the all-new F-150 Lightning pickup, marking a “watershed moment” in the country’s transition to electric vehicles. The truck, which is being built for a customer in the United States, is the only one complete. -size electric pickup available with starting prices below $40,000.

At the time of writing, Ford is the third largest automobile company in the United States, and the seventh largest worldwide, with a market capitalization of $46.23 billion.

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This year has been very difficult for share prices. In early January, the price was $21.77. Ford’s stock price fell to $12.20 at the market close on October 10, down 47.82%.

He has endured something of a rollercoaster ride over the past year and a half. in May 2021, the value of Fstock shares in United States Dollars is 14.53 US Dollars. The price rose 73% to $25 in early 2022, before giving up most of its gains.

Mid-year volatility means that in June 2022, the stock dipped below the $10 mark for the first time in more than a year. It recovered a little at the end of the summer, reaching $16.68 on August 16, but soon fell back to $11 by the end of September.

According to Morningstardata on October 10, 2022, Ford has returned 5.05% over the past 10 years, compared to 15.48% earned by the industry as a whole.

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In its Q2 2022 financial results, Ford reported revenue of $40.1 billion, a 50% increase from $26.7 billion in Q2 2021. Total assets were $245.7m compared to $257m a year earlier and total liabilities were $201.5m, up from the same $208. previous year period.

In the Q2 earnings call on July 28, 2022, Ford President and CEO Jim Farley announced: “The Ford team delivered a very strong second quarter in a ‘challenging environment where we have seen disruptions in the supply chain, many new economic obstacles. must be common.”

“Owning auto stocks before a downturn is often painful, but we think bearish selloffs also create great buying opportunities.”

Ford stock forecast 2030-2040 expect. Still, analysts are generally optimistic about the outlook for Ford stock.

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, acknowledged that Ford has underperformed the S&P 500 (US500) index since reporting first-quarter results, but offered some possible reasons.

“We feel that the downward pressure on the stock is a function of many variables that are generally beyond the control of management, and we think the stock is undervalued because we are taking it in the long run,” he said.

He also suggested that auto stocks could face a tougher time, given their cyclical and intensive nature, selling off suddenly when there is heavy negative sentiment.

“Given this, we wouldn’t be surprised to see Ford shares drop below $10, but we think the stock is undervalued with long-term investors willing to tolerate more negative moves,” he said.

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“Owning car stock before a loss is often painful, but we think selling on the decline also creates a good buying opportunity.”

Danny Hewson, financial analyst at AJ Bell, admits times are tough for the world’s seventh largest carmaker.

“Ford has a lot of bad news to deal with in recent weeks but the biggest problem to solve to make real gains in eVGame is how to get over inflated production costs-critical metal,” he said.

Hewson noted that sanctions against Russia, which have accelerated the race to dominate the fledgling motor industry, have increased prices.

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“There is a danger that it will take years for supply and demand to balance,” he said.

However, he noted that the company has a “special place in the hearts of American drivers” that no new kid on the block can easily usurp.

“Their share price has fallen since the beginning of last year but now it is business as usual. Finally, the company is taking a big step to set itself up for the next 50 years. You have to go through the last one first,” he said.

JPMorgan analyst Ryan Brinkman has assigned an ‘overweight’ rating on the company’s stock and a December 2022 stock price target for Ford of $21.

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On a side note, he highlighted positives including “a very fresh lineup of vehicles,” including new introductions like the Mustang Mach-E battery-electric crossover.

“As Ford increases its international operations, including most recently in South America, we believe that investors will be freed up to invest in potentially more beneficial initiatives, such as electrification and autonomous efforts,” he wrote.

Brinkmann noted that the manufacturer is making progress in transforming its international operations, including in China, which he previously said was a “problem area”.

“We are also pleased with Ford’s new leadership team, which we hope will bring a renewed focus on warranty launch and execution.”

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What is Ford’s stock price in the future? The consensus view of 21 Wall Street analysts suggests that Ford is a ‘hold’ that could reach $17.77 in the next year, according to MarketBeat data from October 11, 2022. Nine analysts rated the stock as ‘hold’, eight as ‘buy’, and four as ‘ selling’.

The highest Ford stock price estimate during this period could be $28, while the lowest suggested price could be $10.

Algorithm-based forecasting service Wallet Investor recommends Ford as a “good long-term investment” at $14.02 through October 2023.

Although the site doesn’t make predictions until 2040, Ford’s stock price forecast predicts the stock could reach $17.47 in October 2024 and $20.10 in October 2025.

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Longer term, the site’s five-year Ford stock forecast expects the price to rise to $24.54 — more than double the $12.20 level when the market closes on Oct. 10, 2022.

Note that price predictions based on analysts and algorithms may be wrong. Forecasts should not be used as a substitute for your own research. Always do your own due diligence and remember that your trading or investment decisions will depend on your risk tolerance, market intelligence, portfolio size and goals.

Remember that past performance does not guarantee future returns and do not invest or trade that you cannot lose.

At the time of writing (October 11, 2022) Ford is a ‘hold’ that could reach $17.77 over the next year. Price targets from a high of $28 down to $10.

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Remember that analyst forecasts can be wrong and should not be used as a substitute for your own research. Don’t invest money you can’t afford to lose.

Analysts believe that the decline in Ford’s share price is due to external factors, such as uncertainty about the Covid-19 lockdown and the war in Ukraine.

The most optimistic analyst price target for Ford’s stock price suggests the stock could reach $25 within five years. Remember that analyst forecasts can be wrong. Forecasts should not be used as a substitute for your own research.

Always do your due diligence before trading and never invest or trade because you can’t afford to lose money.

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No one can say for sure. At the time of writing analysts are relatively optimistic about the future of F Stock; However, their predictions can be wrong and have been wrong in the past. You should do your own research to form an opinion on these approaches

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